SPY-0.0%|QQQ-0.6%|BTC-5.4%|VIX18.43|DXY99.29|10Y4.59
HD·REPORTS TUE·$297.51-4.5%ADI·REPORTS WED·$417.49-1.2%LOW·REPORTS WED·$218.42-3.4%NVDA·REPORTS WED·$225.32+2.7%TGT·REPORTS WED·$121.54+3.6%TJX·REPORTS WED·$147.43-0.7%WSM·REPORTS WED·$168.64-4.2%DE·REPORTS THU·$561.83-4.6%ROST·REPORTS THU·$212.75-0.8%TTWO·REPORTS THU·$242.44+9.5%WDAY·REPORTS THU·$125.01+3.0%WMT·REPORTS THU·$131.45+3.0%

Earnings Calls

Vol. 009·Earnings Preview

Week of May 18, 2026

MAY 18, 2026·12 entries

Weekly Overview

Markets enter a heavy retail and tech earnings week with the S&P 500 navigating renewed consumer spending uncertainty amid sticky inflation readings and elevated tariff costs filtering through supply chains.

April retail sales data, released May 15, showed a deceleration in discretionary categories, putting a spotlight on forward guidance from the large-cap retailers reporting this week.

Semiconductor names face scrutiny over AI capex durability after several hyperscalers signaled more measured spending timelines in recent weeks.

Reported

HD

The Home Depot, Inc.
$297.51-4.5% 1W-14.9% 1M
At a glance
  • Shares down ~15% in one month amid housing-related headwinds
  • SRS Distribution integration adds revenue but pressures margins
  • Existing-home turnover remains historically low, weighing on big-ticket
Analyst consensus33 analysts
Buy
0 Bearish14 Neutral22 Bullish
$297.51 Current
$330 Low
$400.03 Avg
$454 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $351Now $298
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
-1%
Q2 2025 Miss$3.56 vs $3.59 est
Earned -0.8% less per share than analysts expected
-0%
Q3 2025 Miss$4.68 vs $4.69 est
Earned -0.3% less per share than analysts expected
-3%
Q4 2025 Miss$3.74 vs $3.83 est
Earned -2.5% less per share than analysts expected
+8%
Q1 2026 Beat$2.72 vs $2.52 est
Earned +7.8% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Home Depot completed its $18.25B acquisition of SRS Distribution in 2024 and has been integrating the professional-contractor supply business, which management said contributed incremental revenue but pressured margins in recent quarters. The company issued cautious FY2026 guidance citing softness in big-ticket remodeling projects tied to the existing-home sales slowdown and elevated mortgage rates. Comparable sales trends have been negative for multiple consecutive quarters.

What could move the stock

Comp sales trajectory and whether management narrows or adjusts the full-year outlook, particularly any commentary on spring selling season demand and SRS integration costs hitting operating margin.

Reported

ADI

Analog Devices, Inc.
$417.49-1.2% 1W+12.4% 1M
At a glance
  • Four consecutive EPS beats; shares up 12% in past month
  • Cyclical recovery underway in industrial and automotive segments
  • Growing AI data center power management design win pipeline
Analyst consensus31 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish5 Neutral28 Bullish
$295 Low
$406.58 Avg
$417.49 Current
$510 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $432Now $417
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
4-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+9%
Q2 2025 Beat$1.85 vs $1.69 est
Earned +9.4% more per share than analysts expected
+5%
Q3 2025 Beat$2.05 vs $1.95 est
Earned +5.3% more per share than analysts expected
+1%
Q4 2025 Beat$2.26 vs $2.23 est
Earned +1.1% more per share than analysts expected
+7%
Q1 2026 Beat$2.46 vs $2.31 est
Earned +6.6% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Analog Devices reported a cyclical recovery in its industrial and automotive end markets over recent quarters after a prolonged inventory correction through most of 2024. Management highlighted growing design wins in AI-related data center power management and signal processing. The company raised its dividend earlier this year and continued share repurchases, returning over $2B to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

What could move the stock

Industrial segment order trends and book-to-bill ratio, plus any quantification of revenue exposure to AI data center infrastructure builds.

Reported

LOW

Lowe's Companies, Inc.
$218.42-3.4% 1W-12.8% 1M
At a glance
  • Down ~13% in one month, tracking closely with HD weakness
  • Pro customer penetration is a key strategic priority
  • Tariff pass-through on imported goods a near-term margin variable
Analyst consensus33 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish12 Neutral22 Bullish
$218.42 Current
$228 Low
$282.48 Avg
$325 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $252Now $218
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
8-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+1%
Q2 2025 Beat$2.92 vs $2.88 est
Earned +1.4% more per share than analysts expected
+2%
Q3 2025 Beat$4.33 vs $4.24 est
Earned +2.2% more per share than analysts expected
+4%
Q4 2025 Beat$3.06 vs $2.95 est
Earned +3.6% more per share than analysts expected
+2%
Q1 2026 Beat$1.98 vs $1.94 est
Earned +1.9% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Lowe's has been executing its Total Home strategy to capture more professional contractor spend, but comps have remained under pressure alongside Home Depot due to suppressed home turnover and cautious DIY consumer behavior. The company repurchased approximately $3B in shares over the past two quarters and maintained its dividend. Management flagged tariff-related cost pressures on imported goods in its most recent guidance update.

What could move the stock

Pro segment growth rate versus DIY, and any update on pricing actions or margin impact from tariffs on imported building materials and home goods.

Reported

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation
$225.32+2.7% 1W+11.7% 1M
At a glance
  • Blackwell GPU supply remains constrained against hyperscaler demand
  • Export control expansion creates quantifiable revenue headwind
  • EPS estimate of $8.38 implies continued triple-digit YoY growth
Analyst consensus57 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish2 Neutral58 Bullish
$140 Low
$225.32 Current
$272.94 Avg
$380 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $236Now $225
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
8-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+8%
Q2 2025 Beat$0.81 vs $0.75 est
Earned +8.0% more per share than analysts expected
+4%
Q3 2025 Beat$1.05 vs $1.01 est
Earned +4.1% more per share than analysts expected
+4%
Q4 2025 Beat$1.30 vs $1.26 est
Earned +3.5% more per share than analysts expected
+5%
Q1 2026 Beat$1.62 vs $1.54 est
Earned +5.3% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

NVIDIA began shipping its Blackwell-architecture GPUs at scale, with CEO Jensen Huang stating demand significantly exceeds supply heading into mid-2026. The U.S. government imposed new export restrictions on advanced AI chips to several additional countries in early 2026, which NVIDIA disclosed could affect several billion dollars in annualized revenue. The company announced a $50B incremental share buyback authorization in its prior quarter report.

What could move the stock

Data center revenue growth rate and Blackwell ramp trajectory, plus any updated quantification of the revenue impact from expanded export controls.

Reported

TGT

Target Corporation
$121.54+3.6% 1W-4.0% 1M
At a glance
  • Consensus at 'hold' — the weakest sentiment among this week's retailers
  • Price investment strategy pressuring gross margin near-term
  • Discretionary category weakness persists as consumer trades down
Analyst consensus32 analysts
Hold
3 Bearish23 Neutral11 Bullish
$88 Low
$121.54 Current
$127.22 Avg
$160 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $131Now $122
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
3-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
-21%
Q2 2025 Miss$1.30 vs $1.65 est
Earned -21.3% less per share than analysts expected
+1%
Q3 2025 Beat$2.05 vs $2.03 est
Earned +0.8% more per share than analysts expected
+4%
Q4 2025 Beat$1.78 vs $1.71 est
Earned +4.1% more per share than analysts expected
+13%
Q1 2026 Beat$2.44 vs $2.16 est
Earned +13.0% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Target has been investing in price reductions across thousands of essential items to recapture traffic lost to Walmart and discount peers, a strategy it expanded in early 2026. Discretionary categories including home and apparel have remained soft, while grocery and essentials showed modest improvement. CEO Brian Cornell emphasized the company's same-day delivery and Drive Up capabilities as competitive differentiators.

What could move the stock

Traffic versus ticket trends in comparable sales, and whether gross margin stabilizes or compresses further from the price investment strategy.

Reported

TJX

The TJX Companies, Inc.
$147.43-0.7% 1W-7.9% 1M
At a glance
  • Off-price model benefits from consumer trade-down environment
  • Four consecutive EPS beats heading into this report
  • Store expansion pace remains aggressive with 50+ net openings recently
Analyst consensus18 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish1 Neutral18 Bullish
$107 Low
$147.43 Current
$172.17 Avg
$193 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $160Now $147
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
8-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+1%
Q2 2025 Beat$0.92 vs $0.91 est
Earned +0.8% more per share than analysts expected
+9%
Q3 2025 Beat$1.10 vs $1.01 est
Earned +8.5% more per share than analysts expected
+5%
Q4 2025 Beat$1.28 vs $1.22 est
Earned +5.0% more per share than analysts expected
+14%
Q1 2026 Beat$1.58 vs $1.38 est
Earned +14.1% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

TJX continued to gain market share as the trade-down consumer trend benefited off-price retail, with management reporting record inventory availability from brand partners clearing excess stock. The company opened a net 50+ new stores over the past two quarters across its TJ Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods banners. TJX raised its dividend by 13% earlier this fiscal year.

What could move the stock

Comp store sales growth and pretax margin, particularly whether HomeGoods shows improvement after lagging the apparel banners.

Reported

WSM

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.
$168.64-4.2% 1W-15.1% 1M
At a glance
  • Shares down 15% in one month — steepest decline among this week's group
  • Home furnishings demand weak; Pottery Barn and West Elm under pressure
  • Operating margin discipline has been a key differentiator
Analyst consensus19 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish12 Neutral9 Bullish
$136 Low
$168.64 Current
$205.26 Avg
$230 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $202Now $169
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
8-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+5%
Q2 2025 Beat$1.85 vs $1.76 est
Earned +4.9% more per share than analysts expected
+12%
Q3 2025 Beat$2.00 vs $1.79 est
Earned +11.6% more per share than analysts expected
+5%
Q4 2025 Beat$1.96 vs $1.87 est
Earned +4.9% more per share than analysts expected
+5%
Q1 2026 Beat$3.04 vs $2.91 est
Earned +4.5% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Williams-Sonoma has seen meaningful demand softness across its Pottery Barn and West Elm brands as consumers pull back on home furnishings, though the Williams-Sonoma namesake brand has held up better at the higher end. Management maintained its industry-leading operating margins above 17% in recent quarters through disciplined inventory and supply chain cost management. The company increased its share repurchase pace in the most recent quarter.

What could move the stock

Brand-level comp performance, especially Pottery Barn and West Elm, and whether operating margin guidance is maintained above 17%.

Reported

DE

Deere & Company
$561.83-4.6% 1W-4.8% 1M
At a glance
  • Ag equipment downcycle continues with lower crop prices and farm income
  • Precision ag and autonomy investments positioned as long-term margin drivers
  • Tariff-related input cost increases may affect forward guidance
Analyst consensus23 analysts
Buy
0 Bearish11 Neutral13 Bullish
$500 Low
$561.83 Current
$665.10 Avg
$793 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $595Now $562
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
4-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+18%
Q2 2025 Beat$6.64 vs $5.64 est
Earned +17.8% more per share than analysts expected
+2%
Q3 2025 Beat$4.75 vs $4.66 est
Earned +1.9% more per share than analysts expected
+3%
Q4 2025 Beat$3.93 vs $3.83 est
Earned +2.5% more per share than analysts expected
+15%
Q1 2026 Beat$2.42 vs $2.10 est
Earned +15.4% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Deere has been navigating a multi-quarter agricultural equipment downcycle driven by lower crop prices and compressed farm incomes, leading to reduced production schedules at several North American factories. The company has accelerated its precision agriculture technology rollout, with management citing autonomy and AI-driven solutions as margin-accretive over time. Deere also flagged potential cost impacts from steel and component tariffs in its prior guidance.

What could move the stock

Order book trends and dealer inventory levels for large ag equipment, plus any revision to full-year net income guidance reflecting tariff costs or demand shifts.

Reported

ROST

Ross Stores, Inc.
$212.75-0.8% 1W-6.6% 1M
At a glance
  • Four consecutive EPS beats; off-price peer to TJX
  • Significant long-term store growth runway from ~2,150 to 2,900+ target
  • Trade-down consumer behavior continues to support traffic trends
Analyst consensus16 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish3 Neutral14 Bullish
$158 Low
$212.75 Current
$237.88 Avg
$290 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $229Now $213
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
4-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+3%
Q2 2025 Beat$1.47 vs $1.43 est
Earned +2.5% more per share than analysts expected
+1%
Q3 2025 Beat$1.56 vs $1.54 est
Earned +1.4% more per share than analysts expected
+11%
Q4 2025 Beat$1.58 vs $1.42 est
Earned +10.9% more per share than analysts expected
+5%
Q1 2026 Beat$2.00 vs $1.91 est
Earned +4.9% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Ross Stores continued to benefit from the same trade-down consumer dynamics lifting TJX, posting positive comps in recent quarters driven by traffic gains. The company opened approximately 90 net new stores over the past fiscal year, primarily in underpenetrated Midwest and Northeast markets. Management reiterated its long-term target of 2,900+ total locations from approximately 2,150 currently.

What could move the stock

Comp sales composition between traffic and basket size, and whether merchandise margin expands as inventory availability from vendors remains elevated.

Reported

TTWO

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
$242.44+9.5% 1W+14.3% 1M
At a glance
  • Shares up 14% in one month on GTA VI momentum
  • Last quarter was an EPS miss on heavy pre-launch spending
  • GTA VI launch performance is the single dominant variable
Analyst consensus27 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish0 Neutral26 Bullish
$165 Low
$242.44 Current
$277.06 Avg
$320 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $242Now $242
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+90%
Q2 2025 Beat$-0.07 vs $-0.72 est
Earned +90.2% more per share than analysts expected
-17%
Q3 2025 Miss$-0.73 vs $-0.62 est
Earned -17.1% less per share than analysts expected
-29%
Q4 2025 Miss$-0.50 vs $-0.39 est
Earned -28.6% less per share than analysts expected
-28%
Q1 2026 Miss$-0.50 vs $-0.39 est
Earned -28.2% less per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Take-Two's GTA VI, the most anticipated game release in the industry, is scheduled for fall 2025 with its launch window having driven significant share price appreciation; any updates on release timing, early sales data, or post-launch content plans will dominate the call. The company missed EPS estimates last quarter due to elevated marketing spend and development costs ahead of the launch. NBA 2K and other recurring franchises provided stable but unspectacular revenue in recent quarters.

What could move the stock

GTA VI early sales or pre-order metrics and any commentary on the title's post-launch monetization roadmap, including GTA Online next-generation plans.

Reported

WDAY

Workday, Inc.
$125.01+3.0% 1W+1.0% 1M
At a glance
  • Subscription growth decelerating into mid-teens range
  • Restructuring cut ~1,750 roles to improve margin profile
  • AI feature expansion is the primary upsell thesis
Analyst consensus38 analysts
Buy
0 Bearish16 Neutral25 Bullish
$115 Low
$125.01 Current
$179.22 Avg
$300 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $131Now $125
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
8-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+11%
Q2 2025 Beat$2.23 vs $2.01 est
Earned +11.0% more per share than analysts expected
+4%
Q3 2025 Beat$2.21 vs $2.12 est
Earned +4.4% more per share than analysts expected
+7%
Q4 2025 Beat$2.32 vs $2.17 est
Earned +6.7% more per share than analysts expected
+6%
Q1 2026 Beat$2.47 vs $2.32 est
Earned +6.4% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Workday has been expanding its AI-powered features across its HCM and financial management platforms, positioning AI agents and automation as a driver of upsell and new customer acquisition. The company announced a restructuring in late 2025 that reduced headcount by approximately 1,750 employees to improve operating margins. Subscription revenue growth has decelerated to the mid-teens percentage range as the large-enterprise HCM market matures.

What could move the stock

Subscription revenue growth rate and remaining performance obligations (RPO) growth, plus updated operating margin targets following the restructuring.

Reported

WMT

Walmart Inc.
$131.45+3.0% 1W+3.3% 1M
At a glance
  • Shares up 3% in past month, outperforming most retail peers
  • Higher-income household trade-down continues to drive share gains
  • Tariff-driven price increases on shelves are a key consumer read-through
Analyst consensus41 analysts
Buy
1 Bearish3 Neutral39 Bullish
$62 Low
$131.45 Current
$137.54 Avg
$150 High
Price — 1 monthPeak $132Now $131
Apr 16Apr 23May 1May 8May 15
Earnings historyActual EPS vs analyst estimates — how much the company earned per share vs what Wall Street predicted
2-quarter streak
EstimateBeatMissMatch
Last 4 quarters
+6%
Q2 2025 Beat$0.61 vs $0.58 est
Earned +5.6% more per share than analysts expected
-8%
Q3 2025 Miss$0.68 vs $0.74 est
Earned -8.0% less per share than analysts expected
+3%
Q4 2025 Beat$0.62 vs $0.60 est
Earned +3.1% more per share than analysts expected
+2%
Q1 2026 Beat$0.74 vs $0.73 est
Earned +1.8% more per share than analysts expected
What's happening

Walmart has been the primary share gainer in U.S. grocery and general merchandise, with higher-income households increasingly shopping its stores and e-commerce platform. The company's advertising business, Walmart Connect, and its third-party marketplace have been growing at 20%+ rates and contributing higher-margin revenue. Management previously warned that tariff-driven cost increases would lead to selective price hikes, and CEO Doug McMillon publicly stated some price increases were already appearing on shelves.

What could move the stock

U.S. comp sales and e-commerce growth rate, and management's updated commentary on tariff-related pricing actions and their impact on consumer demand elasticity.